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Red399
5278144.9
2451188.4
4230149.7
Blue167
2525108.9
5275110.2
336789.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4181570100200300500600399167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.41.1
174.9176.0
Auto21.1
Teleop145.8
End22.4
red by 78.2
5275
#30
110.25.0
92.497.4
Auto14.1
Teleop88.2
End10.5
Second
149.71.1
141.9142.9
Auto17.7
Teleop109.6
End23.6
red by 40.8
2525
#44
108.95.5
103.1108.7
Auto12.9
Teleop85.6
End11.8
Third
144.98.0
106.9114.9
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
red by 55.4
3367
#50
89.41.8
97.195.3
Auto17.8
Teleop63.6
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed