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Red90
5340109.9
2225126.2
6912100.3
Blue465
3277139.7
2549137.1
2227155.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214371010030040050060090465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2225
#41
126.25.9
104.8110.6
Auto13.4
Teleop99.3
End12.6
blue by 29.6
2227
#23
155.91.2
147.0148.2
Auto17.1
Teleop115.7
End22.9
Second
5340
#38
109.96.3
93.099.3
Auto15.3
Teleop83.3
End13.5
blue by 29.8
3277
#20
139.70.5
130.5131.0
Auto17.1
Teleop108.0
End14.7
Third
6912
#36
100.34.8
95.3100.1
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End13.2
blue by 36.8
137.11.8
122.4124.2
Auto17.5
Teleop102.1
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed