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Qual 402018 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red468
4693128.7
2606142.7
2175166.9
Blue181
2855110.8
4665119.2
3883133.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336263100200300400500600468181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#5
166.92.9
146.7→149.6
Auto23.6
Teleop121.2
End22.9
red by 33.3
3883
#18
133.51.2
129.4→130.7
Auto18.5
Teleop103.1
End10.7
Second
2606
#27
142.73.4
117.8→121.3
Auto16.6
Teleop108.4
End19.9
red by 23.4
4665
#47
119.20.7
120.9→121.5
Auto17.2
Teleop91.3
End11.7
Third
4693
#46
128.75.4
114.6→120.0
Auto16.5
Teleop97.9
End15.6
red by 17.9
2855
#54
110.82.1
113.4→115.5
Auto13.7
Teleop84.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed