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Qual 452018 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red174
171113.8
6749123.3
529095.7
Blue390
2225126.2
3202119.5
3082139.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2952870100200400500600174390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6749
#53
123.34.9
121.3→126.2
Auto13.7
Teleop97.9
End9.5
blue by 15.8
3082
#22
139.10.6
133.8→133.1
Auto19.0
Teleop98.0
End23.2
Second
171
#52
113.81.2
119.8→121.0
Auto14.6
Teleop86.8
End12.0
blue by 12.5
2225
#41
126.21.0
110.6→111.7
Auto13.4
Teleop99.3
End12.6
Third
5290
#51
95.72.4
89.2→91.6
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End6.9
blue by 23.8
3202
#39
119.52.7
104.3→107.0
Auto16.0
Teleop92.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed