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Red433
3633166.6
5278144.9
2549137.1
Blue352
3042151.4
2472146.6
5638131.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303080100200400500600700800433352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.61.8
152.9154.8
Auto18.7
Teleop129.0
End21.7
red by 15.2
3042
#15
151.40.8
145.9146.8
Auto23.6
Teleop112.6
End13.6
Second
144.94.6
120.5125.1
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
blue by 1.8
2472
#13
146.61.9
136.3138.1
Auto20.2
Teleop114.8
End13.7
Third
137.11.6
126.5128.1
Auto17.5
Teleop102.1
End18.7
red by 5.3
5638
#12
131.72.3
123.8126.1
Auto13.6
Teleop103.6
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed