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Red405
2225126.2
3750184.3
2227155.9
Blue242
2491151.8
6749123.3
4277117.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3712680100200300400500600405242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.31.8
172.4174.2
Auto18.1
Teleop137.3
End28.8
red by 32.5
2491
#11
151.81.1
148.5149.6
Auto21.1
Teleop111.3
End20.4
Second
2227
#23
155.91.1
150.0151.1
Auto17.1
Teleop115.7
End22.9
red by 32.5
6749
#53
123.31.0
126.2127.2
Auto13.7
Teleop97.9
End9.5
Third
2225
#41
126.23.0
111.7114.7
Auto13.4
Teleop99.3
End12.6
red by 9.2
4277
#33
117.13.0
110.5113.5
Auto15.4
Teleop90.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed