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Red166
7019122.2
3871140.7
2855110.8
Blue454
4225110.2
3082139.1
2512149.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29631805001,0001,5002,0002,500166454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3871
#17
140.74.5
129.0133.6
Auto16.5
Teleop110.1
End14.8
blue by 9.0
2512
#14
149.70.9
143.8144.7
Auto21.4
Teleop112.3
End12.8
Second
7019
#42
122.23.2
115.3118.5
Auto14.6
Teleop93.9
End13.6
blue by 17.0
3082
#22
139.10.7
133.5134.1
Auto19.0
Teleop98.0
End23.2
Third
2855
#54
110.80.4
114.5114.9
Auto13.7
Teleop84.1
End11.4
red by 0.6
4225
#49
110.22.2
100.7102.9
Auto12.7
Teleop84.2
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed