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Qual 682018 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red418
2512149.7
3633166.6
3277139.7
Blue212
4663127.2
2227155.9
3202119.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792930100200500600700418212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3633
#3
166.62.4
156.9→159.4
Auto18.7
Teleop129.0
End21.7
red by 10.7
2227
#23
155.91.4
152.5→153.9
Auto17.1
Teleop115.7
End22.9
Second
2512
#14
149.71.6
144.7→146.3
Auto21.4
Teleop112.3
End12.8
red by 22.4
4663
#45
127.21.3
128.8→130.1
Auto15.3
Teleop87.3
End24.0
Third
3277
#20
139.71.3
134.4→135.8
Auto17.1
Teleop108.0
End14.7
red by 20.2
3202
#39
119.52.7
115.2→118.0
Auto16.0
Teleop92.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed