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Red162
2129120.5
529095.7
5340109.9
Blue427
4648125.3
3130187.9
4277117.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2063880100300500600162427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#40
120.50.9
119.5120.4
Auto13.4
Teleop92.1
End17.2
blue by 67.4
187.92.0
178.3180.2
Auto23.5
Teleop139.8
End26.6
Second
5340
#38
109.93.0
105.4108.4
Auto15.3
Teleop83.3
End13.5
blue by 15.4
4648
#21
125.31.4
121.8123.1
Auto18.9
Teleop92.1
End12.4
Third
5290
#51
95.72.2
92.594.6
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End6.9
blue by 21.4
4277
#33
117.10.4
116.5116.1
Auto15.4
Teleop90.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed