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Red218
3848122.8
2549137.1
2207120.4
Blue454
171113.8
2175166.9
3871140.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311315250300350400450218454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.11.9
134.2136.2
Auto17.5
Teleop102.1
End18.7
blue by 29.8
166.91.4
160.9162.3
Auto23.6
Teleop121.2
End22.9
Second
3848
#25
122.81.8
121.0122.8
Auto14.7
Teleop100.8
End10.1
blue by 17.9
3871
#17
140.71.8
136.4138.1
Auto16.5
Teleop110.1
End14.8
Third
2207
#24
120.41.0
119.5120.4
Auto14.4
Teleop91.7
End18.7
red by 6.6
171
#52
113.81.9
115.7113.8
Auto14.6
Teleop86.8
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed