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Red269
3202119.5
7019122.2
2654113.4
Blue295
3610109.7
2667104.6
5278144.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783200100200400500600269295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7019
#42
122.22.1
120.1122.2
Auto14.6
Teleop93.9
End13.6
blue by 22.7
144.94.0
136.8140.8
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
Second
3202
#39
119.51.5
118.0119.5
Auto16.0
Teleop92.3
End11.2
red by 9.8
3610
#37
109.71.4
108.3109.7
Auto15.2
Teleop78.6
End16.7
Third
2654
#48
113.41.9
111.5113.4
Auto14.4
Teleop85.7
End14.9
red by 8.7
2667
#32
104.61.7
102.9104.6
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed