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Qual 92018 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red278
2129120.5
2883146.1
171113.8
Blue375
3082139.1
3633166.6
4230149.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315311240260280300340360380278375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#28
146.10.4
148.5→148.0
Auto15.6
Teleop113.5
End17.7
blue by 20.5
3633
#3
166.63.3
140.4→143.7
Auto18.7
Teleop129.0
End21.7
Second
2129
#40
120.517.0
65.7→82.7
Auto13.4
Teleop92.1
End17.2
blue by 29.1
4230
#6
149.72.5
135.6→138.1
Auto17.7
Teleop109.6
End23.6
Third
171
#52
113.814.4
89.2→103.6
Auto14.6
Teleop86.8
End12.0
blue by 25.3
3082
#22
139.10.5
135.7→135.2
Auto19.0
Teleop98.0
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed