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Red411
2175166.9
3130187.9
3082139.1
Blue253
2512149.7
3750184.3
3871140.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388338200300500600411253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.90.8
184.9185.7
Auto23.5
Teleop139.8
End26.6
red by 3.6
184.30.2
184.2184.3
Auto18.1
Teleop137.3
End28.8
Second
166.90.7
164.2164.9
Auto23.6
Teleop121.2
End22.9
red by 17.2
2512
#14
149.70.1
149.8149.7
Auto21.4
Teleop112.3
End12.8
Third
3082
#22
139.10.2
138.1138.4
Auto19.0
Teleop98.0
End23.2
blue by 1.6
3871
#17
140.70.4
140.3140.7
Auto16.5
Teleop110.1
End14.8