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Red274
2846149.0
3244149.4
3038140.3
Blue365
5434142.5
2052184.1
5913130.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343336100200300400500600274365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.41.4
146.7148.2
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
blue by 34.6
184.10.4
183.2183.6
Auto28.0
Teleop135.4
End20.0
Second
2846
#36
149.00.0
148.9149.0
Auto18.5
Teleop115.5
End15.5
red by 6.5
5434
#18
142.50.4
141.8142.1
Auto25.7
Teleop104.4
End13.7
Third
3038
#15
140.30.8
138.7139.5
Auto15.8
Teleop110.2
End16.8
red by 9.8
5913
#22
130.40.4
129.6130.0
Auto17.2
Teleop97.2
End15.6