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Qual 262018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red139
2825104.8
4229107.7
327899.0
Blue345
248098.0
5434142.5
3745125.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862580100200400500600139345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4229
#40
107.710.0
90.4→100.4
Auto15.3
Teleop83.7
End10.3
blue by 34.8
5434
#18
142.50.3
137.3→137.0
Auto25.7
Teleop104.4
End13.7
Second
2825
#33
104.87.6
96.1→103.7
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.8
blue by 21.0
3745
#34
125.80.7
124.2→123.5
Auto19.3
Teleop95.2
End9.2
Third
3278
#60
99.05.0
99.8→104.8
Auto14.0
Teleop81.0
End0.5
red by 1.0
2480
#51
98.03.1
86.3→89.4
Auto13.5
Teleop79.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed