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Red116
223992.0
3298111.3
284784.4
Blue379
2470109.0
1816133.3
3102120.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267274150200250300350400116379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3298
#47
111.31.2
108.1109.3
Auto19.5
Teleop80.8
End12.1
blue by 22.1
1816
#16
133.30.9
128.5127.7
Auto17.1
Teleop97.9
End18.9
Second
2239
#55
92.03.3
99.7103.1
Auto12.3
Teleop75.8
End5.2
blue by 28.4
3102
#13
120.40.9
117.8116.9
Auto19.9
Teleop89.5
End9.1
Third
2847
#58
84.45.6
91.096.6
Auto10.9
Teleop72.5
End0.6
blue by 24.6
2470
#10
109.01.6
100.4102.0
Auto17.3
Teleop76.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned