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Red379
2509149.2
4549114.8
3184151.5
Blue276
3745125.8
718093.3
5913130.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3572280100200300400500600379276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#19
151.50.7
150.2149.5
Auto19.7
Teleop114.1
End17.4
red by 21.1
5913
#22
130.40.8
122.4121.5
Auto17.2
Teleop97.2
End15.6
Second
149.21.9
136.4138.3
Auto19.6
Teleop103.7
End27.7
red by 23.4
3745
#34
125.80.2
123.5123.7
Auto19.3
Teleop95.2
End9.2
Third
4549
#11
114.81.3
114.8113.5
Auto16.8
Teleop81.1
End16.1
red by 21.5
7180
#57
93.31.2
91.692.7
Auto12.5
Teleop73.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed