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Qual 432018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red279
3023109.8
2181155.9
3407101.9
Blue143
5996110.5
2508122.7
223992.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092180100400500279143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
#17
155.91.6
149.5→151.1
Auto19.5
Teleop113.5
End23.2
red by 33.2
2508
#24
122.72.0
116.9→118.9
Auto14.6
Teleop94.3
End15.3
Second
3023
#20
109.81.3
105.3→104.0
Auto15.1
Teleop86.4
End8.4
blue by 0.7
5996
#48
110.50.6
107.9→108.5
Auto16.8
Teleop85.2
End10.0
Third
3407
#53
101.92.4
103.3→105.8
Auto13.8
Teleop82.2
End7.7
red by 9.9
2239
#55
92.01.5
101.8→100.4
Auto12.3
Teleop75.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed