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Red303
4549114.8
5434142.5
4607140.5
Blue272
4664106.2
3630123.1
2181155.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298293150200250350400303272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#18
142.50.0
138.3138.3
Auto25.7
Teleop104.4
End13.7
blue by 13.4
2181
#17
155.91.1
151.1152.2
Auto19.5
Teleop113.5
End23.2
Second
4607
#27
140.50.1
138.4138.3
Auto16.8
Teleop106.9
End17.9
red by 17.4
3630
#39
123.11.4
125.0123.6
Auto17.8
Teleop92.4
End13.9
Third
4549
#11
114.80.3
112.9112.7
Auto16.8
Teleop81.1
End16.1
red by 8.6
4664
#42
106.24.5
94.298.7
Auto16.4
Teleop85.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed