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Qual 622018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red313
4536119.4
3745125.8
1816133.3
Blue376
223295.3
233164.2
5913130.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27932402004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600313376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#16
133.31.2
128.5→129.6
Auto17.1
Teleop97.9
End18.9
blue by 30.8
233
#4
164.22.0
155.0→157.0
Auto21.5
Teleop121.0
End24.1
Second
3745
#34
125.80.4
126.1→125.7
Auto19.3
Teleop95.2
End9.2
blue by 4.6
5913
#22
130.41.8
122.6→124.3
Auto17.2
Teleop97.2
End15.6
Third
4536
#46
119.41.0
115.3→116.3
Auto14.1
Teleop86.3
End17.0
red by 24.1
2232
#54
95.31.6
99.2→97.6
Auto12.6
Teleop77.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed