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Red202
2498120.4
2518128.1
3081113.9
Blue255
223992.0
2846149.0
4664106.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912510100200400500600202255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2518
#37
128.13.8
120.7124.5
Auto14.4
Teleop97.4
End20.1
blue by 20.9
2846
#36
149.00.2
149.5149.4
Auto18.5
Teleop115.5
End15.5
Second
2498
#45
120.41.2
127.1125.9
Auto16.7
Teleop88.2
End14.3
red by 14.2
4664
#42
106.23.7
98.7102.4
Auto16.4
Teleop85.5
End6.2
Third
3081
#29
113.90.8
112.0112.8
Auto14.6
Teleop85.0
End13.2
red by 21.9
2239
#55
92.03.7
97.793.9
Auto12.3
Teleop75.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed