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Qual 702018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red165
718093.3
5996110.5
3018130.6
Blue416
3630123.1
3840131.6
4229107.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265272100150200300350400450165416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3018
#28
130.64.0
124.0→128.1
Auto16.3
Teleop100.2
End15.6
blue by 1.1
3840
#23
131.60.2
130.5→130.3
Auto16.5
Teleop103.7
End8.3
Second
5996
#48
110.52.5
107.1→109.5
Auto16.8
Teleop85.2
End10.0
blue by 12.6
3630
#39
123.10.9
123.6→122.7
Auto17.8
Teleop92.4
End13.9
Third
7180
#57
93.31.9
95.5→93.6
Auto12.5
Teleop73.2
End11.2
blue by 14.4
4229
#40
107.72.5
106.1→103.6
Auto15.3
Teleop83.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed