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Red355
2823132.1
3745125.8
2470109.0
Blue193
3407101.9
253299.8
7068114.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982440100200400500355193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
132.11.5
127.9129.3
Auto23.2
Teleop96.5
End13.0
red by 17.4
7068
#44
114.83.1
110.3113.4
Auto12.9
Teleop91.0
End10.7
Second
3745
#34
125.80.2
125.7125.4
Auto19.3
Teleop95.2
End9.2
red by 24.0
3407
#53
101.91.3
104.5103.2
Auto13.8
Teleop82.2
End7.7
Third
2470
#10
109.01.3
106.2107.5
Auto17.3
Teleop76.4
End18.5
red by 9.2
2532
#43
99.81.8
97.499.2
Auto14.1
Teleop82.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed