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Red291
3018130.6
2508122.7
2502164.0
Blue278
5637115.8
1816133.3
2518128.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353266100200300400500600291278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.01.9
160.4162.3
Auto23.7
Teleop110.0
End31.4
red by 30.7
1816
#16
133.31.0
129.6130.7
Auto17.1
Teleop97.9
End18.9
Second
3018
#28
130.61.7
128.1129.8
Auto16.3
Teleop100.2
End15.6
red by 2.4
2518
#37
128.11.4
124.5125.8
Auto14.4
Teleop97.4
End20.1
Third
2508
#24
122.72.7
118.4121.1
Auto14.6
Teleop94.3
End15.3
red by 6.9
5637
#14
115.81.3
112.3113.5
Auto17.9
Teleop82.9
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned