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Red227
5996110.5
4207136.2
3298111.3
Blue292
3081113.9
2501146.0
7038101.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280296100200400500227292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4207
#12
136.20.9
138.7137.8
Auto17.1
Teleop105.9
End11.1
blue by 9.7
146.02.2
140.4142.5
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End24.0
Second
3298
#47
111.31.5
109.1110.6
Auto19.5
Teleop80.8
End12.1
blue by 2.6
3081
#29
113.90.3
112.8113.1
Auto14.6
Teleop85.0
End13.2
Third
5996
#48
110.50.8
109.5110.4
Auto16.8
Teleop85.2
End10.0
red by 9.2
7038
#41
101.31.4
97.799.1
Auto13.5
Teleop82.2
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed