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Qual 82018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red107
284784.4
2501146.0
3454105.7
Blue372
2502164.0
2529101.2
4607140.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553360100200300400500600700107372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2501
#8
146.03.0
130.0→133.0
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End24.0
blue by 18.0
2502
#7
164.00.7
151.5→152.3
Auto23.7
Teleop110.0
End31.4
Second
3454
#52
105.716.7
67.8→84.6
Auto14.4
Teleop85.8
End3.3
blue by 34.8
4607
#27
140.52.2
134.4→136.6
Auto16.8
Teleop106.9
End17.9
Third
2847
#58
84.417.0
65.8→82.7
Auto10.9
Teleop72.5
End0.6
blue by 16.8
2529
#49
101.217.6
60.5→78.1
Auto13.6
Teleop80.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed