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Red416
3244149.4
3839117.0
6709116.5
Blue181
2545109.0
2529101.2
3630123.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299235100200400500416181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.44.6
130.3134.9
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
red by 26.3
3630
#39
123.10.3
122.7123.0
Auto17.8
Teleop92.4
End13.9
Second
3839
#31
117.01.3
116.9115.5
Auto15.1
Teleop86.0
End13.7
red by 8.0
2545
#30
109.02.3
105.6107.9
Auto16.3
Teleop84.0
End14.7
Third
6709
#25
116.50.1
113.9114.1
Auto16.3
Teleop88.5
End9.5
red by 15.3
2529
#49
101.23.8
107.8103.9
Auto13.6
Teleop80.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed