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Red430
3038140.3
3244149.4
3630123.1
Blue286
2501146.0
3058129.9
2509149.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314346150200250400450500430286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.45.5
134.9140.4
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
red by 0.3
149.21.9
146.3148.2
Auto19.6
Teleop103.7
End27.7
Second
3038
#15
140.31.5
133.9135.4
Auto15.8
Teleop110.2
End16.8
blue by 5.7
146.02.3
142.5144.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End24.0
Third
3630
#39
123.10.1
123.0123.1
Auto17.8
Teleop92.4
End13.9
blue by 6.8
3058
#38
129.90.2
129.7129.9
Auto18.5
Teleop96.9
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned