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Red334
4607140.5
5172207.3
4536119.4
Blue382
5434142.5
2052184.1
5913130.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348350250300400450334382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.30.5
206.4206.9
Auto27.5
Teleop138.6
End40.8
red by 23.3
184.10.5
182.1182.7
Auto28.0
Teleop135.4
End20.0
Second
4607
#27
140.50.1
140.3140.4
Auto16.8
Teleop106.9
End17.9
blue by 2.0
5434
#18
142.50.5
140.8141.3
Auto25.7
Teleop104.4
End13.7
Third
4536
#46
119.40.2
119.1119.3
Auto14.1
Teleop86.3
End17.0
blue by 11.0
5913
#22
130.40.5
128.6129.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.2
End15.6