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Red295
4536129.3
5172213.0
3130205.6
Blue212
1816158.2
876165.8
4607132.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405289100200500600700800295212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213.00.1
212.9213.0
Auto23.2
Teleop152.7
End37.3
red by 47.2
876
#2
165.80.3
165.6165.8
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End16.3
Second
3130
#10
205.60.3
205.9205.6
Auto23.3
Teleop154.9
End25.2
red by 47.4
158.20.6
157.6158.2
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End20.9
Third
129.30.3
129.0129.3
Auto14.6
Teleop96.3
End19.0
blue by 3.4
4607
#23
132.70.3
132.4132.7
Auto18.9
Teleop104.6
End10.6