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Red175
3407100.7
4511110.8
2855109.3
Blue260
9992113.7
4859126.7
7038106.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24029904006008001,0001,2001,4001,600175260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4511
#32
110.81.0
120.5119.5
Auto15.6
Teleop87.8
End7.4
blue by 15.9
4859
#27
126.71.8
133.2131.3
Auto15.9
Teleop100.2
End7.5
Second
2855
#26
109.30.6
110.8110.2
Auto15.3
Teleop83.4
End11.0
blue by 4.4
9992
#22
113.717.6
60.177.7
Auto13.8
Teleop86.0
End17.1
Third
3407
#28
100.70.3
101.9102.2
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End8.3
blue by 5.8
7038
#11
106.52.6
101.3103.9
Auto14.1
Teleop83.5
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed