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Red326
2220143.9
2175172.0
9992113.7
Blue393
4536129.3
876165.8
3926129.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327292100200400500600700326393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#15
172.00.1
167.1167.3
Auto21.0
Teleop132.9
End17.6
red by 6.1
876
#2
165.81.3
166.8165.4
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End16.3
Second
2220
#12
143.91.6
150.8149.2
Auto21.4
Teleop109.5
End11.0
red by 14.5
3926
#31
129.42.1
135.8133.7
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End11.4
Third
9992
#22
113.78.5
89.898.3
Auto13.8
Teleop86.0
End17.1
blue by 15.6
129.30.8
120.5121.3
Auto14.6
Teleop96.3
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed