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Red232
2052178.0
3244164.5
2129113.1
Blue148
2855109.3
253280.7
4607132.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3991760100300500600700232148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.01.8
184.9183.1
Auto24.4
Teleop133.7
End19.1
red by 45.3
4607
#23
132.71.0
134.9133.9
Auto18.9
Teleop104.6
End10.6
Second
164.50.6
164.6164.0
Auto23.9
Teleop116.0
End21.4
red by 55.3
2855
#26
109.30.1
109.5109.6
Auto15.3
Teleop83.4
End11.0
Third
2129
#24
113.11.1
119.2118.0
Auto14.0
Teleop87.1
End8.2
red by 32.4
2532
#35
80.71.6
87.485.9
Auto15.5
Teleop71.1
End-3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed