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Red105
2491156.8
4859126.7
2177108.7
Blue437
9992113.7
2846153.5
3750190.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23836706008001,0001,2001,400105437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.80.0
158.5158.6
Auto24.3
Teleop117.8
End14.6
blue by 34.1
190.90.0
186.3186.3
Auto18.0
Teleop149.0
End23.6
Second
4859
#27
126.70.1
129.3129.4
Auto15.9
Teleop100.2
End7.5
blue by 26.8
2846
#19
153.50.3
154.0153.6
Auto22.2
Teleop122.8
End7.3
Third
2177
#33
108.71.1
113.0112.0
Auto17.1
Teleop82.5
End7.1
blue by 5.0
9992
#22
113.71.1
104.8105.9
Auto13.8
Teleop86.0
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed