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Red225
4607132.7
7038106.5
3926129.4
Blue407
3750190.9
3407100.7
253280.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259260250300350225407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#23
132.70.1
132.1132.0
Auto18.9
Teleop104.6
End10.6
blue by 58.2
190.91.2
187.4188.6
Auto18.0
Teleop149.0
End23.6
Second
3926
#31
129.41.3
130.7129.4
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End11.4
red by 28.8
3407
#28
100.70.8
101.4100.7
Auto15.1
Teleop79.0
End8.3
Third
7038
#11
106.50.1
106.4106.5
Auto14.1
Teleop83.5
End9.2
red by 25.8
2532
#35
80.70.9
81.680.7
Auto15.5
Teleop71.1
End-3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed