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Red252
9992113.7
4198164.4
3055128.6
Blue264
4607132.7
2500115.6
4539208.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23137905001,0001,5002,000252264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#21
164.41.1
160.2161.4
Auto18.2
Teleop119.7
End26.0
blue by 43.7
208.00.1
217.8217.7
Auto25.3
Teleop150.7
End29.7
Second
3055
#16
128.60.6
126.9127.6
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End21.3
blue by 4.1
4607
#23
132.70.2
135.1134.9
Auto18.9
Teleop104.6
End10.6
Third
9992
#22
113.712.0
77.789.8
Auto13.8
Teleop86.0
End17.1
blue by 1.9
2500
#13
115.61.7
124.4122.7
Auto17.5
Teleop89.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsMissed