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Red423
4539218.2
5172211.1
6175131.5
Blue301
3130203.2
2052186.5
2491156.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375372300350400450500423301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.20.2
218.4218.2
Auto27.1
Teleop155.9
End35.8
red by 15.1
203.20.3
203.4203.2
Auto23.7
Teleop152.2
End26.7
Second
211.10.2
210.9211.1
Auto24.7
Teleop147.2
End38.6
red by 24.6
186.50.0
186.5186.5
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
Third
6175
#34
131.50.2
131.7131.5
Auto18.2
Teleop96.3
End14.8
blue by 25.3
156.80.2
157.0156.8
Auto22.2
Teleop114.6
End16.9