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Qual 12018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red306
2177115.2
2181161.9
3276185.1
Blue458
2512154.6
2846150.5
2052186.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173620100200400500600700306458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#15
185.10.5
187.9→187.4
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End29.9
blue by 1.5
2052
#3
186.50.5
183.3→182.8
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
Second
2181
#16
161.90.7
155.9→156.6
Auto21.4
Teleop117.2
End21.9
red by 7.2
2512
#18
154.60.3
148.3→148.0
Auto21.9
Teleop117.7
End12.8
Third
2177
#32
115.20.4
115.4→115.0
Auto16.2
Teleop88.0
End12.5
blue by 35.4
2846
#20
150.50.3
144.7→145.0
Auto21.1
Teleop118.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed