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Red208
4623160.9
3630121.9
2175168.7
Blue335
2181161.9
3750184.9
3184149.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306396100200500208335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#12
168.70.4
173.5173.1
Auto21.4
Teleop125.4
End19.7
blue by 16.1
3750
#13
184.90.2
183.6183.3
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
Second
4623
#36
160.90.8
159.6160.4
Auto18.1
Teleop118.1
End23.2
blue by 0.9
2181
#16
161.91.2
156.7157.9
Auto21.4
Teleop117.2
End21.9
Third
3630
#27
121.90.3
124.2123.9
Auto19.5
Teleop91.8
End5.1
blue by 27.9
3184
#29
149.80.6
151.1150.5
Auto18.3
Teleop112.0
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed