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Qual 192018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red299
3276185.1
2225137.8
2883149.8
Blue392
5914145.2
3130203.2
3100148.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319370100200400500600299392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#15
185.10.6
185.8→185.3
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End29.9
blue by 18.1
3130
#6
203.21.1
202.6→203.7
Auto23.7
Teleop152.2
End26.7
Second
2883
#31
149.80.2
147.7→147.9
Auto17.5
Teleop113.9
End18.8
red by 1.3
3100
#26
148.50.7
153.0→152.3
Auto20.0
Teleop111.8
End15.6
Third
2225
#23
137.81.0
135.2→136.2
Auto17.2
Teleop108.0
End12.6
blue by 7.4
5914
#14
145.20.6
143.5→142.8
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed