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Red212
4174159.2
5914145.2
2225137.8
Blue352
3750184.9
2502171.4
4539218.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2414870100200300400600700212352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#17
159.22.6
150.8153.4
Auto17.1
Teleop117.7
End19.5
blue by 59.0
218.20.8
220.7221.5
Auto27.1
Teleop155.9
End35.8
Second
5914
#14
145.20.1
144.6144.7
Auto16.7
Teleop109.2
End21.6
blue by 39.7
3750
#13
184.90.3
184.3184.6
Auto18.0
Teleop142.0
End24.2
Third
2225
#23
137.80.1
134.8134.9
Auto17.2
Teleop108.0
End12.6
blue by 33.5
171.40.7
169.1169.8
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed89%Face the Boss oddsMissed