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Red300
3630121.9
2977159.9
2502171.4
Blue390
1816150.7
4539218.2
2052186.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250437100200300400500600300390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.40.1
169.1169.0
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
blue by 46.9
218.20.1
219.7219.5
Auto27.1
Teleop155.9
End35.8
Second
2977
#28
159.90.0
160.4160.4
Auto19.8
Teleop116.9
End23.5
blue by 26.7
186.50.4
183.2183.6
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
Third
3630
#27
121.90.5
123.0122.5
Auto19.5
Teleop91.8
End5.1
blue by 28.8
150.72.2
141.5143.7
Auto20.1
Teleop109.1
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed70%Face the Boss oddsEarned