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Qual 382018 MSHSL FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red323
2169139.6
3130203.2
2502171.4
Blue296
2846150.5
3184149.8
2987167.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380305200500600323296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#6
203.20.5
205.3→204.8
Auto23.7
Teleop152.2
End26.7
red by 35.8
2987
#10
167.30.2
168.7→168.5
Auto20.9
Teleop126.0
End19.1
Second
2502
#4
171.40.2
169.1→169.3
Auto21.9
Teleop117.9
End33.0
red by 20.8
2846
#20
150.50.6
148.8→149.4
Auto21.1
Teleop118.8
End8.9
Third
2169
#11
139.60.5
137.9→138.4
Auto18.6
Teleop106.3
End15.6
blue by 10.2
3184
#29
149.80.2
150.0→150.3
Auto18.3
Teleop112.0
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed