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Red431
2052186.5
3276185.1
2220153.1
Blue318
3244163.5
2512154.6
3926137.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4003070100200500600431318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.50.7
184.0184.7
Auto24.8
Teleop138.3
End23.7
red by 23.0
163.50.9
162.0163.0
Auto23.2
Teleop110.6
End30.2
Second
3276
#15
185.10.3
185.0184.7
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End29.9
red by 30.4
2512
#18
154.60.9
153.2154.1
Auto21.9
Teleop117.7
End12.8
Third
2220
#19
153.10.4
153.4153.0
Auto24.4
Teleop113.1
End13.6
red by 15.8
3926
#35
137.30.3
138.1137.8
Auto18.5
Teleop102.2
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed