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Red322
2883149.8
3630121.9
2181161.9
Blue326
2225137.8
1816150.7
2501154.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34132105001,0001,5002,0002,500322326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
#16
161.90.1
161.8161.9
Auto21.4
Teleop117.2
End21.9
red by 7.4
2501
#22
154.40.7
155.1154.4
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End22.3
Second
2883
#31
149.81.1
148.7149.8
Auto17.5
Teleop113.9
End18.8
blue by 0.9
150.70.8
149.3150.1
Auto20.1
Teleop109.1
End19.8
Third
3630
#27
121.90.3
122.2121.9
Auto19.5
Teleop91.8
End5.1
blue by 15.9
2225
#23
137.80.6
138.4137.8
Auto17.2
Teleop108.0
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed