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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Heartland Regional
Red175
4388147.0
6886141.3
935116.4
Blue386
1108127.9
3184145.6
4499140.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328304150200250350400450500175386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#8
147.00.5
146.2→146.7
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
red by 1.3
3184
#9
145.60.6
142.4→143.0
Auto18.2
Teleop112.1
End17.7
Second
6886
#2
141.31.2
139.2→140.4
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
red by 1.1
4499
#22
140.30.8
136.0→136.9
Auto20.8
Teleop109.4
End13.1
Third
935
#32
116.40.6
115.5→116.0
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End12.2
blue by 11.4
1108
#16
127.90.3
128.7→128.4
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4