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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Heartland Regional
Red439
1710156.3
4522157.1
1982128.8
Blue167
4959145.8
4786141.7
2167112.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372261100200300500600439167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#3
157.10.6
153.4→154.0
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
red by 11.3
4959
#11
145.80.3
145.4→145.6
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
Second
1710
#14
156.30.7
152.1→152.7
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End15.0
red by 14.6
4786
#6
141.70.1
141.5→141.6
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
Third
1982
#19
128.80.0
128.2→128.2
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End13.4
red by 16.2
2167
#21
112.60.3
113.4→113.0
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9