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Qual 482018 Heartland Regional
Red129
1723161.9
4646129.3
5119132.8
Blue428
1769127.7
4388147.0
1710156.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307325150200250350400450500129428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#4
161.95.4
140.1→145.6
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
red by 5.6
1710
#14
156.32.4
138.3→140.7
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End15.0
Second
5119
#7
132.84.9
121.2→126.0
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
blue by 14.2
4388
#8
147.00.8
137.1→137.9
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
Third
4646
#31
129.33.0
124.1→127.1
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End11.9
red by 1.6
1769
#33
127.70.9
123.2→124.1
Auto17.3
Teleop98.3
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed