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Qual 502018 Heartland Regional
Red451
6424137.2
4522157.1
1806155.0
Blue247
5809111.6
2765138.1
967123.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3572470100200300400500600451247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#3
157.14.2
130.3→134.5
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
red by 19.0
2765
#15
138.10.4
128.2→128.7
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
Second
1806
#13
155.01.3
147.6→148.9
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
red by 31.3
967
#37
123.80.6
132.9→133.5
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.8
Third
6424
#23
137.20.2
129.0→128.8
Auto17.3
Teleop106.8
End13.5
red by 25.6
5809
#30
111.62.8
102.3→105.0
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed