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Qual 622018 Heartland Regional
Red260
1108127.9
200196.6
4388147.0
Blue153
1984145.8
967123.8
591899.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309279100200400500600260153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#8
147.02.5
141.3→143.8
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
red by 1.1
1984
#10
145.83.8
137.8→141.6
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
Second
1108
#16
127.91.4
129.6→131.0
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
red by 4.1
967
#37
123.82.6
132.6→129.9
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.8
Third
2001
#41
96.62.1
93.5→95.6
Auto14.4
Teleop73.1
End11.2
blue by 2.6
5918
#38
99.20.4
99.9→99.5
Auto13.9
Teleop80.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed